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Investing in Unit Trusts: Determining
Your Risk Level
There are a lot of
'Risk Tolerance' measures out there which asks you a bunch of questions, and
then tells you your Risk Profile. Most of the time, they pretty much tell you
what you already know. Most of us have a good sense of the kind of risk we can
stomach so we don't really need a test to tell us that.
What you might not
be aware of, however, is that your life situation might demand that you take
on specific levels of risk, no matter what your risk appetite might be. It is
not a matter of what kind of risks you want to take, it's a matter of
what kind of risks you can take given the circumstances that you are
in.
These are the Fundsupermart
rules for determining the amount of risk you can take given your life
situation.
1. Time Horizon
(or Age) :
The longer your time
horizon (or, the younger you are),
the more risk you can take. The
more time you have, the more you are able to ride out market cycles and volatility,
so that you never sell at a loss, but always at a profit. Also, the power of
compounding increases the worth of your portfolio dramatically with time.
Conversely, the less
time you have (or, older
you are), the less risk you can take. If you are close to retirement, it is best
that you invest your money in stable, conservative unit trusts. This is because
you don't want to be caught in a down market cycle when you need your money.
You would have to sell at a loss.
2. Risk
Transition : As
your investment horizon approaches, you have to scale down the level of risks
which you take in your investments. For example, you might have bought high
risk, high returns unit trusts for your retirement in 20 years time. In 15 years
time, it is wise to scale down to medium risks products, and then low risks
products in 18 years time. This way you preserve the gains you have gotten in
the early years.
3. Savings
:
If you have at least
4 - 6 months pay worth of savings tucked away, you are more able to invest in
high risk unit trusts. In case of any emergency, you would have sufficient cash
to tide you through, and you do not need to liquidate your investments.
If you do not have
this amount in cash but would still like to invest, it's best to keep your investments
to low risk unit trusts. In case you need to redeem it, you are less likely
to be caught with high losses.
4. Lifestyle needs
:
Take a good look at
your lifestyle requirements. How do you imagine yourself retiring? Or what is
the goal for which you are investing? If you feel that you can be happy with
a simple 4 room HDB flat when you retire, then there is no need for you to take
high risks, no matter what your age might be.
Do not invest in high
risk products simply because everybody else
is doing it. Determine what you need and invest accordingly.
Conclusion
Generally, there is
a good correlation between risks and returns. The higher the risks, the higher
the returns are likely to be. However, the key word here is 'likely'. There
is no guarantee. High risks instruments can sometimes crash, and lead to large
losses.
So you have to be
very mindful of whether your life situation allows you to handle such a crash.
If not, it is better to choose less risk products. No matter what you perceive
your risk 'appetite' to be.
Next : Picking the right fund
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