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October 12, 2001
CMG's Reax To Off-Budget Measures
by CMG First State Investments
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LAND & PROPERTY-RELATED MEASURES Land and property related measures including property tax rebates amounting to $880 million and commercial rental rebates amounting to $103m. The biggest beneficiaries appear to be property companies especially those with commercial property. The removal of the three-year cap on capital gains may attract longer term buyers with property investments in mind. However, the last two years have seen capital values of residential property declining and we expect the short-term impact to be minimal. Longer term, however, the suspension of land sales will likely cap supply and help in alleviating the current large stock of inventory. CORPORATE TAXES & INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS Corporate tax rebates of $570m. We expect the corporate tax rebates to boost market earnings by a marginal 1.5%. Injection of $3.5 billion in the form of infrastructure projects. We expect well-capitalised companies such as SembCorp Industries to benefit from the accelerated infrastructure spending. IMPACT The impact of the package is unlikely to be felt in the short term. While the government is putting money into the hands of the people with measures such as the personal tax rebates and the New Singapore Share scheme, consumer spending is unlikely to see a big boost given the economic uncertainties of the current environment. We expect these measures to help alleviate short-term pains for corporates. Longer term, it is companies that have a well-crafted strategy that will survive. Our Singapore investment strategy continues to focus on well-managed companies with strong balance sheets that will weather them through the current crisis.
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