Untitled Document
Licensed dealer and Financial Adviser   CPFIS Registered Investment Administrator
 
Funds & Personal Finance  
Bookmark and Share
Share
Print
more
What The Worst-Performing US Equity Fund of 2011 Has In Common With Warren Buffett February 1, 2012
Legendary investor Warren Buffett has two things in common with our bottom-performing recommended US fund. Read on to find out what could possibly justify such sacrilegious statements.
Author : Nick Tay


Untitled Document

Key points:
- In 2011, all US funds with 5-year track records underperformed the benchmark
- In 2011, BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD returned -18.36%, and Fidelity America USD returned -2.81%
- On a 5-year annualised basis, BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD returned -0.86% versus the benchmark return of -3.56%
- The performance of BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD is similar to Berkshire Hathaway as 1) both underperformed the S&P 500 in 2011, and 2) on a 5-year annualised basis, both outperformed the S&P 500



For every human endeavor, there usually is a special individual, whose accomplishments defy gravity, win the respect of peers, and capture the imagination of millions. Tennis’ Federer. Boxing’s Ali. Pro wrestling’s Calaway.  And when one speaks of investing, the name is Buffett.

Warren Buffett, greatest investor in the history of financial markets, invests through Berkshire Hathaway. His record, unrivalled, and the 2008 Chairman’s letter to Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway states,

“Over the last 44 years (that is, since present management took over) book value has grown from $19 to $70,530, a rate of 20.3% compounded annually.” (Numbers quoted reference Berkshire’s A-shares. Source: Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report 2008, Chairman’s Letter.)

20% returns compounded over 44 years is an astounding return, and is a testament to the investing genius of Buffett.

So what in the name of good sense does Berkshire have in common with the worst-performing US fund in 2011?

First, let’s take a look at the US funds available on the platform.

US Funds 2011 Performance
Table 1 displays the performances of the US equity funds with a 5-year track record.

Table 1: US funds with 5-year track record, 2011 Returns
Date 2011
S&P500 3.13%
ING (L) Inv US High Div P USD 0.97%
Fidelity America USD -2.81%
Fidelity America A-SGD -2.93%
Aberdeen American Opp -3.01%
M&G American Fd EUR A -6.39%
BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD -18.36%
Outperformance in bold. iFAST Compilations, in SGD terms, dividends reinvested

First impressions look grim; not a single fund beat the benchmark. In fact, with the exception of one fund, ING (L) Inv US High Div P USD, all funds put in a negative performance, most notably BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD, our recommended fund, and also bottom-performer of 2011.

But that’s just one year of data, and with market cycles lasting around 5 years, it’s important to zoom out, and look at performances over a 5-year period, as this would include up trends, down trends, and sideways market movements.

US Funds 5-year calendar year and annualised performance

Table 2: Historical Calender Year Return, 2007 to 2011
Date 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
S&P500 -1.11% -37.08% 23.68% 5.13% 3.13%
ING (L) Inv US High Div P USD -6.24% -33.86% 23.35% 4.18% 0.97%
Fidelity America A-SGD -0.19% -40.68% 36.68% 2.77% -2.93%
Aberdeen American Opp 1.47% -34.39% 23.69% 0.51% -3.01%
M&G American Fd EUR A -2.14% -41.18% 31.19% 6.10% -6.39%
BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD 18.88% -27.99% 25.52% 9.15% -18.36%
Outperformance in bold. iFAST Compilations, in SGD terms, dividends reinvested

Over 5-years, one can see what contributes to the Recommended Fund status of BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD: it’s one of the rare funds to have beaten the S&P 500 in 4 of the past 5 years. And this long-term performance explains how, over 5-years, the fund beats the benchmark, as shown in table 3.

Table 3: 5-year annualised return, 2007 to 2011
Name Return
BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD -0.86%
S&P500 -3.56%
Fidelity America A-SGD -4.19%
ING (L) Inv US High Div P USD -4.25%
Aberdeen American Opp -4.29%
M&G American Fd EUR A -5.59%
Outperformance in bold. iFAST Compilations, in SGD terms, dividends reinvested

In fact, it’s the only fund with a 5-year track record on the platform that has managed to beat the index.

So what does BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD have in common with Buffett and, by extension, Berkshire Hathaway?

Two Things This US Fund Has In Common With Warren Buffett
Over the same 5-year period, from end-2006 to end-2011, I measured Buffett’s performance with Berkshire Hathaway’s B-class shares, which are more liquid than the A-class shares.

Table 4 displays the historical performance of BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD, Berkshire Hathaway and the S&P 500.

Table 4: Historical Calender Year Return, 2007 to 2011
Date 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
S&P500 -1.11% -37.08% 23.68% 5.13% 3.13%
Berkshire Hathaway Inc - Cl B 21.10% -32.23% -0.01% 11.37% -3.80%
BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD 18.88% -27.99% 25.52% 9.15% -18.36%
Outperformance in bold. iFAST Compilations, in SGD terms, dividends reinvested

Immediately, one can see the first thing they have in common: Berkshire Hathaway and BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD underperformed the benchmark in 2011. The second thing they have in common is shown in table 5.

Table 3: 5-year annualised return, 2007 to 2011
Name Return
BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD -0.86%
Berkshire Hathaway Inc - Cl B -2.54%
S&P500 -3.56%
Outperformance in bold. iFAST Compilations, in SGD terms, dividends reinvested

The second thing they have in common: over longer time-frames, both Berkshire Hathaway and BNPPL1 Opportunities USA USD outperform the benchmark.
The point of this comparison is to highlight the fact that investment losses (sometimes to the extent of double digit losses) are an uncomfortable fact of investing life, and even the best don’t beat the benchmark every single year.

But investors (from the legendary to the obscure) with an effective and profitable strategy will eventually ride out the losses and achieve long-term outperformance.

Nick Tay tweets randomly on Twitter, connects with people on Facebook or Google+, and loves all things investing, social media and Youtube. You can also leave feedback with a post on the forum. I promise to read all feedback, and will make every effort to respond where possible. If you know of anyone who can benefit from this article, do a favour and share it with them– but only if you think it’s worth sharing!


iFAST and/or its licensed financial adviser representatives may own or have positions in the funds of any of the asset management firms or fund houses mentioned or referred to in the article, or any unit trusts or Singapore Government Securities bonds related thereto, and may from time to time add or dispose of, or may be materially interested in any such unit trusts or Singapore Government Securities bonds. This article is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation for the subscription, purchase or sale of any fund. No investment decision should be taken without first viewing a fund's prospectus. Any advice herein is made on a general basis and does not take into account the specific investment objectives of the specific person or group of persons. Past performance and any forecast is not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of the fund. The value of units and the income from them may fall as well as rise. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Please read our disclaimer in the website.


 
RELATED FUNDS
Aberdeen American Opp
Fidelity America A SGD
Fidelity America A USD
ING (L) Inv US High Div P USD